Mathematical modeling and predicting wildland fire effects
F. A. Albini, J. K. Brown*
Mechanical Engineering Department Montana State University,
Bozeman MT 59717
*USDA Forest Service Intermountain Fire Sciences Laboratory,
P. O. Box 8089, Missoula MT 59807
Страницы: 55-70
Аннотация
A qualitative assessment is made of the role of mathematical modeling in predicting the effects of wildland fires. Specific roles for mathematical models of physical processes involved in causing fire effects are identified in creating decision aids for helping managers make better decisions in planning fire use and in strategic planning of wildfire suppression. More direct roles are seen in helping to strengthen our knowledge base about fire effects through more efficient use of research resources. In assessing the potential utility of mathematical models in these roles, a novel taxonomy of wildland fire effects is introduced, based on longevity of the effect, time delay between fire and emergence of effect, and distance between fire and effect. Physical processes are identified as candidates for mathematical modeling, as are factors complicating the realization or use of the models. Candidate modeling topics are identified as
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